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Why Trump believes 'China is big into crypto' despite ban - CoinsText
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Why Trump believes ‘China is big into crypto’ despite ban

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Why Trump believes 'China is big into crypto' despite ban

President Donald Trump told 60 Minutes on November 2 that China poses a competitive threat in crypto, warning that “China is getting into it very big right now.”

The claim surfaces a paradox. Beijing banned crypto trading and mining in 2021, yet Trump frames the country as America’s principal rival in digital assets.

The disconnect likely isn’t about secret intelligence or a policy reversal that went unnoticed, but rather about conflating Hong Kong’s licensed market, Beijing’s central bank digital currency ambitions, and gray market stablecoin flows into a single “China” narrative.

The timing matters because Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission announced, during Hong Kong FinTech Week, that it will relax rules allowing licensed virtual asset platforms to tap into global order books and liquidity pools, one day later.

The move deepens Hong Kong’s integration with international crypto markets while the mainland maintains its prohibition.

Trump’s statement, whether intentional or not, captures a real dynamic: “China” operates across multiple crypto fronts simultaneously, just not the ones most people assume.

Mainland ban remains operational

The People’s Bank of China declared all cryptocurrency transactions illegal on September 24, 2021, targeting both peer-to-peer trading and mining operations.

The ban prohibits domestic exchanges, criminalizes facilitation services, and blocks foreign platforms from serving users on the mainland. No major outlet or legal tracker reports a reversal of that framework as of press time.

The ban achieved its immediate goals, which were to drive exchanges offshore, collapse domestic mining operations, and restrict retail access to speculative tokens.

What it didn’t eliminate were the reasons people wanted crypto in the first place: capital mobility, cross-border settlement speed, and distrust of intermediaries.

Those forces relocated to Hong Kong’s licensed regime, moved into over-the-counter stablecoin channels, or found expression in Beijing’s own digital currency project.

Hong Kong as the permissive carve-out

Hong Kong’s regulatory approach runs in the opposite direction. The SFC launched a licensing framework for virtual asset trading platforms in June 2023, granting retail access to approved tokens on compliant exchanges.

By April 2024, Hong Kong had approved spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, products previously unavailable on the mainland, providing institutional investors with a regulated on-ramp.

The November 3 announcement extends that permissive stance further. Licensed platforms can now link to global liquidity sources rather than operating isolated Hong Kong-only order books.

The change erases a structural disadvantage, namely that Hong Kong’s domestic market alone cannot generate the depth or spreads competitive with Binance or Coinbase.

Connecting to international liquidity transforms licensed Hong Kong platforms into viable alternatives for sophisticated traders seeking regulatory cover without compromising execution quality.

This is the mechanism that makes Trump’s framing coherent even if technically imprecise. When he says “China,” he’s likely bundling a Special Administrative Region with de facto policy autonomy into the same mental category as the mainland.

Hong Kong’s moves, retail access, ETFs, and now global liquidity, create the appearance of “China” advancing in crypto, while Beijing’s trading ban remains in place.

The CBDC layer: digital money, not crypto

Beijing’s e-CNY pilot represents the world’s largest central bank digital currency deployment by transaction volume.

Cumulative transactions exceeded ¥7 trillion by mid-2024, according to reports, spanning retail payments, government disbursements, and corporate settlements.

Hong Kong began accepting e-CNY at local merchants in May 2024, linking the mainland’s digital currency infrastructure to an international financial hub.

The e-CNY functions as programmable state money, centralized, surveilled, and designed to strengthen rather than challenge Beijing’s monetary control.

It shares no philosophical DNA with Bitcoin or decentralized finance. Yet its scale and cross-border extension into Hong Kong contribute to the perception that “China” operates at the frontier of digital assets.

Trump’s remarks conflate this state-issued digital money with permissionless crypto, but the confusion tracks a genuine reality. China commands the most advanced retail CBDC in production, giving it credibility when claiming leadership in digital finance even as it bans decentralized alternatives.

Chinese regulators are studying offshore yuan-backed stablecoins issued through Hong Kong, aiming to capture cross-border settlement flows currently dominated by dollar-pegged tokens, according to reports from last year.

The proposal would let Beijing maintain capital controls on the mainland while offering exporters a compliant digital settlement tool abroad.

Gray market stablecoin adoption and hashrate

Enforcement gaps and economic incentives created a parallel system. Chinese exporters are increasingly accepting USDT for cross-border payments, thereby bypassing the slow process of bank transfers and capital controls.

The adoption isn’t centrally coordinated, but it’s widespread enough that Beijing can’t ignore it.

Stablecoin flows also increased in Russia-China trade channels as Western sanctions complicated traditional banking rails, making digital dollars a settlement layer for transactions that the formal financial system struggles to process.

This over-the-counter activity explains why the statement “China is big into crypto” feels true to traders and businesses, even when mainland retail trading remains banned.

The distinction between prohibited speculation and tolerated commercial usage creates space for stablecoins to function as infrastructure rather than investment assets.

Beijing hasn’t legalized this activity, but it hasn’t stamped it out either, creating a calculated ambiguity that allows cross-border commerce to continue. At the same time, the state studies how to channel those flows into manageable instruments.

Additionally, China’s hashrate didn’t fall to zero after the 2021 mining crackdown. Cambridge’s mining map indicates ongoing activity, likely stemming from operations that relocated to remote provinces or transferred hardware abroad while maintaining Chinese ownership.

More importantly, Chinese firms continue to manufacture the equipment that secures global cryptocurrency networks.

Bitmain, the dominant ASIC producer, operates out of Beijing and continues to expand its manufacturing capacity in Southeast Asia and North America.

Even if no Bitcoin mining were to occur in China, the country would remain deeply embedded in crypto infrastructure through its hardware supply chains.

Trump says ‘China is big into crypto’: what it likely means

Trump’s statement (probably) doesn’t reflect a mainland policy reversal or undisclosed intelligence. It reflects a strategic reality more complex than binary narratives allow.

The “China is big into crypto” remark collapses several distinct phenomena. Hong Kong’s licensed market is now linked to global liquidity, as Beijing’s over ¥7 trillion CBDC program extends into Hong Kong.

Exporters are settling trade in USDT despite capital controls, and Chinese hardware manufacturers are supplying global mining infrastructure.

The Hong Kong liquidity announcement is significant because it expands the channel through which Chinese capital can access crypto markets legally.

Licensed platforms connecting to Binance or Kraken order books provide mainland investors with offshore pathways that appear less like evasion and more like regulatory arbitrage.

The perception that “China” competes in crypto intensifies not because Beijing lifted its ban but because Hong Kong built a compliant alternative that achieves similar market access through a different legal architecture.

Trump campaigned on making America the crypto capital, framing the issue as a binary competition for primacy.

His remarks treat China as a unitary actor, when in reality, the country involves jurisdictional splits, state versus private initiatives, and retail bans coexisting with institutional access.

Yet the core concern holds: China maintains multiple positions in crypto despite its domestic prohibition.

The competitive landscape Trump describes exists, but it doesn’t take the form most assume.

The mainland ban remains intact. The threat originates from Hong Kong’s licensed alternative, Beijing’s CBDC infrastructure, and exporters utilizing stablecoins, rather than from a sudden Chinese adoption of decentralized finance.

What Trump called “getting into it very big” is less a policy shift than a recognition that China found ways to participate in crypto markets without legalizing the activity its regulators fear most, which is uncontrolled retail speculation in permissionless assets.

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